LIVE ยท TRADING OPENTRUMPEVENT IN 219D 8H
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Markets in this event
27 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?Yes 3%No 97%
$50k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 8%No 92%
$37k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?Yes 15%No 85%
$24k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?Yes 7%No 93%
$18k
VOL
โ
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?Yes 3%No 97%
$16k
VOL
โ
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Yes 12%No 89%
$15k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Yes 11%No 90%
$14k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?Yes 23%No 77%
$9k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Yes 8%No 92%
$8k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?Yes 21%No 80%
$7k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?Yes 8%No 92%
$7k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Yes 6%No 94%
$7k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?Yes 27%No 73%
$4k
VOL
โ
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?Yes 18%No 82%
$2k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?Yes 5%No 95%
$2k
VOL
โ
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?Yes 13%No 87%
$2k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?Yes 9%No 91%
$1k
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?Yes 9%No 92%
$458
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?Yes 7%No 94%
$330
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?Yes 46%No 54%
$157
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?Yes 11%No 90%
$122
VOL
โ
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?Yes 48%No 53%
$37
VOL
โ
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?Yes 42%No 58%
$16
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?Yes 44%No 56%
$11
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?Yes 47%No 53%
โ
VOL
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Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027?Yes 7%No 93%
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VOL
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Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?Yes 60%No 41%
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VOL
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Event activity
Across all 27 markets24H VOLUME
$270
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$226k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$167k
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 ยท 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 27 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.