Prediction HFT
TRUMP
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on...?

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on...?

MARKETS14
CLOSESJul 4, 2024 ยท 12:00 PM UTC
SOURCEwhitehouse.gov
EVENT VOLUME
$4.4M
MARKETS
14
LIQUIDITY
$164k

Markets in this event

14 markets ยท sorted by volume

Event activity

Across all 14 markets
24H VOLUME
โ€”
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$4.4M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$164k
Available to trade

Resolution rules

Verbatim from Polymarket
https://www.whitehouse.gov/
SOURCEwhitehouse.gov
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this event

Context for traders

This is a group market on whether Donald J. Trump will be the President of the United States on the dates listed.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
https://www.whitehouse.gov/
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jul 4, 2024 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 14 markets. Each market settles independently โ€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.