Prediction HFT
POLITICS
Who will speak more at VP Debate?

Who will speak more at VP Debate?

RESOLVESOct 1, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢WALZVANCE
OPEN 24H
0.96
Walz
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Walz

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$63k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

About this market

Context

This market refers to the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance during the 2024 election cycle. This market will resolve to "Walz" if Tim Walz speaks for more time than JD Vance during the debate. It will resolve to "Vance" if JD Vance speaks for more time than Tim Walz. If both candidates speak for the exact same amount of time, the market will resolve to 50-50. If no debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance takes place before election day, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information about candidates' speaking time during the debate from CBS, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Oct 1, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Walz (100%), Vance (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.