LIVE Β· TRADING OPENPOLITICSEVENT IN 219D 8H
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Markets in this event
71 markets Β· sorted by volume
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 13%No 87%
$50k
VOL
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Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4%No 96%
$34k
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Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 89%
$34k
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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 13%No 88%
$32k
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Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 7%No 93%
$27k
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Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 2%No 98%
$26k
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Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 20%No 80%
$24k
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Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 7%No 93%
$22k
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Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 7%No 93%
$20k
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Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 9%No 91%
$20k
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Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 12%No 89%
$19k
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Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 10%No 91%
$16k
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Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 3%No 97%
$15k
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Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 90%
$15k
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Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 20%No 81%
$14k
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Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 4%No 96%
$14k
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Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 10%No 90%
$14k
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Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 3%No 97%
$12k
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Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 6%No 94%
$12k
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Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 13%No 88%
$12k
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Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 7%No 93%
$11k
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Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 90%
$11k
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Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 14%No 86%
$11k
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Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 4%No 97%
$10k
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Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 3%No 97%
$10k
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Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 7%No 93%
$9k
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Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 9%No 91%
$9k
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Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 5%No 96%
$9k
VOL
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Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 89%
$8k
VOL
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Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 17%No 84%
$7k
VOL
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Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 5%No 95%
$7k
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Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 90%
$6k
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Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 8%No 92%
$6k
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Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 16%No 85%
$6k
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Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 10%No 90%
$6k
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Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 17%No 84%
$6k
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Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 6%No 95%
$6k
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Will Beto OβRourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 15%No 85%
$6k
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Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 16%No 84%
$6k
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Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 8%No 92%
$6k
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Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 12%No 89%
$5k
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Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 9%No 92%
$5k
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Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 16%No 85%
$5k
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Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 12%No 89%
$5k
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Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 89%
$5k
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Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 10%No 90%
$4k
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Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 9%No 92%
$4k
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Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 9%No 92%
$4k
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Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 89%
$3k
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Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 90%
$3k
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Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 7%No 94%
$3k
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Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 7%No 93%
$3k
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Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 13%No 87%
$3k
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Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 10%No 90%
$3k
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Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 4%No 96%
$3k
VOL
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Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 8%No 92%
$3k
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Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 90%
$3k
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Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 11%No 90%
$3k
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Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 16%No 85%
$2k
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Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 6%No 95%
$2k
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Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 12%No 88%
$2k
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Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 13%No 88%
$2k
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Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 14%No 86%
$2k
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Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 14%No 87%
$2k
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Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 16%No 85%
$2k
VOL
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Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 10%No 90%
$1k
VOL
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Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 5%No 95%
$976
VOL
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Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 10%No 90%
$596
VOL
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Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 15%No 85%
$416
VOL
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Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 9%No 91%
$79
VOL
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Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 8%No 93%
$11
VOL
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Event activity
Across all 71 markets24H VOLUME
$4k
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$671k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$798k
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis market will resolve to βYesβ if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 71 markets. Each market settles independently β you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.