Prediction HFT
LIVE Β· TRADING OPENPOLITICSEVENT IN 219D 8H
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

MARKETS18
CLOSESDec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$62
MARKETS
18
LIQUIDITY
$27k

Markets in this event

18 markets Β· sorted by volume
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
$40k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
$22k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
$9k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?
$7k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
$4k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
$2k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?
$2k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?
$2k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
$1k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?
$1k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?
$1k
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
$889
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?
$652
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?
$616
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?
$464
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
$413
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
$198
VOL
β†’
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?
$192
VOL
β†’

Event activity

Across all 18 markets
24H VOLUME
$62
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$95k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$27k
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to β€œYes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 18 markets. Each market settles independently β€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.