POLITICS

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
Markets in this event
12 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?Yes 0%No 100%
$109.1M
VOL
โ
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1%?Yes 0%No 100%
$33.1M
VOL
โ
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?Yes 0%No 100%
$16.0M
VOL
โ
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?Yes 0%No 100%
$12.5M
VOL
โ
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?Yes 0%No 100%
$8.3M
VOL
โ
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?Yes 0%No 100%
$6.0M
VOL
โ
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?Yes 0%No 100%
$3.9M
VOL
โ
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%? Yes 0%No 100%
$1.2M
VOL
โ
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? Yes 0%No 100%
$953k
VOL
โ
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%? Yes 0%No 100%
$696k
VOL
โ
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? Yes 100%No 0%
$693k
VOL
โ
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1.0%? Yes 0%No 100%
$344k
VOL
โ
Event activity
Across all 12 markets24H VOLUME
โ
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$192.9M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
โ
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis is a market on predicting the vote margin for the Pennsylvania presidential election.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Nov 5, 2024 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 12 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.