LIVE ยท TRADING OPENPOLITICSEVENT IN 219D 8H
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
Markets in this event
4 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?Yes 93%No 7%
$5k
VOL
โ
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?Yes 10%No 91%
$5k
VOL
โ
Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?Yes 44%No 56%
$609
VOL
โ
Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion before 2027?Yes 100%No 0%
โ
VOL
โ
Event activity
Across all 4 markets24H VOLUME
$4
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$11k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$13k
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 ยท 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 4 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.