
Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Current odds
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Market stats
Polymarket · CLOBRecent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
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About this market
ContextThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein by 11:59 PM ET the day after Kash Patel is sworn in as director of the FBI. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not qualify. If Patel's nomination is formally withdrawn, if the Senate rejects his nomination, if someone else is confirmed as Director of the FBI, or if Patel otherwise is not confirmed as Director of the FBI by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.