Prediction HFT
LIVE Β· TRADING OPENPOLITICSEVENT IN 219D 8H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

MARKETS7
CLOSESDec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$5k
MARKETS
7
LIQUIDITY
$11k

Markets in this event

7 markets Β· sorted by volume

Event activity

Across all 7 markets
24H VOLUME
β€”
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$5k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$11k
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 7 markets. Each market settles independently β€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.