Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 28β29%?Will the California redistricting referendum pass by <26%?Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 27β28%?Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 26β27%?Proposition 50 is a 2025 legislatively referred constitutional amendment on congressional redistricting, proposed for the statewide special election in California currently set for November 4, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin by which Proposition 50 is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide special election currently set for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the βmarginβ is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the certified statewide vote share in favor (βproβ) minus the certified statewide vote share against (βcontraβ) the proposition. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Proposition 50 does not receive more pro than contra votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the State of California.
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.