Prediction HFT
POLITICS
AZ-06 election: Engel (D) vs. Ciscomani (R)

AZ-06 election: Engel (D) vs. Ciscomani (R)

RESOLVESNov 5, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWENGELCISCOMANI
OPEN 24H
0.01
Engel
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Engel

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$101k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

About this market

Context

United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to "Engel" if Democrat Kirsten Engel wins the congressional election in Arizona's 6th district. This market will resolve to "Ciscomani" if Republican Juan Ciscomani wins the congressional election in Arizona's 6th district. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Nov 5, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Engel (0%), Ciscomani (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.