Prediction HFT
LIVE ยท TRADING OPENPOLITICSEVENT IN 12D 6H
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

MARKETS24
CLOSESJul 21, 2026 ยท 11:59 PM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$783
MARKETS
24
LIQUIDITY
$212k

Markets in this event

24 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$224k
VOL
โ†’
Will Mark Brnovich be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$74k
VOL
โ†’
Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$49k
VOL
โ†’
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$12k
VOL
โ†’
Will Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$12k
VOL
โ†’
Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$11k
VOL
โ†’
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$11k
VOL
โ†’
Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$8k
VOL
โ†’
Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$8k
VOL
โ†’
Will Muchelle Ugenti-Rita be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$6k
VOL
โ†’
Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$5k
VOL
โ†’
Will John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$4k
VOL
โ†’
Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$4k
VOL
โ†’
Will Jason Duey be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$4k
VOL
โ†’
Will Candidate H be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Candidate J be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Candidate L be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Candidate N be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Candidate G be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Candidate I be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Candidate K be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Candidate M be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Candidate O be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
$0
VOL
โ†’

Event activity

Across all 24 markets
24H VOLUME
$783
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$433k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$212k
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jul 21, 2026 ยท 11:59 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 24 markets. Each market settles independently โ€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.