Prediction HFT
LIVE · TRADING OPENPOLITICS219D 8H REMAINING
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

RESOLVESDec 31, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW38¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.34
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.40
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.31
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$721
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$200k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$8k
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

About this market

Context

On March 18, 2026, rumors emerged that the U.S. federal government had registered the domains “aliens.gov” and "alien.gov." This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government officially announces or confirms that “aliens.gov” or "alien.gov" is intended for immigration-related purposes, or if the website becomes publicly accessible and its content is clearly and predominantly related to U.S. immigration or information for or about non-citizens (“aliens”), by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For announcements to qualify, they must be official. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. If either website becomes publicly accessible and its content is clearly and predominantly related to extraterrestrial/UFO topics or any subject not primarily related to immigration, or if any qualifying announcement or confirmation establishes that the domains are intended for such non-immigration-related purposes, this market will resolve to "No". Informal statements, placeholder pages, inactive domains, or any content that is not clearly indicative of the domains' primary purpose will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (38%), No (62%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.