Prediction HFT
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World Chess Championship 2021: Will Game 12 be played?

World Chess Championship 2021: Will Game 12 be played?

RESOLVESDec 11, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEfideworldchampionship.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$17k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$0
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://fideworldchampionship.com/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

The World Chess Championship 2021 is an ongoing chess match between reigning world champion Magnus Carlsen and challenger Ian Nepomniachtchi to determine the World Chess Champion. The full match consists of maximum 14 regular games, and a score of 7½ wins the world championship. If the score is equal after 14 games, tie-break games with faster time controls will be played. If the first move of game 12 is played, this market will resolve to ‘Yes’. If the match ends after Game 11 because Magnus Carlsen becomes the 2021 World Champion, thus making Game 12 not be played, this market will resolve to ‘No’. If the entire match is cancelled before the 12th game is played, the market will resolve to "No." Additionally, if game 12 is not played by December 16, 2021, the market will resolve to "No." ------------------------------ WCC 2021 is held under the auspices of FIDE, the world chess federation, and played at Dubai Exhibition Centre, Dubai, United Arab Emirates, between 24 November and 16 December 2021. Please read more about the championship here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2021

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://fideworldchampionship.com/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Dec 11, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.