Prediction HFT
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Will @Whale_Alert tweet count be over 61,300 on January 31 (10 AM ET)?

Will @Whale_Alert tweet count be over 61,300 on January 31 (10 AM ET)?

RESOLVESJan 31, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEtweetdeck.twitter.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$2k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$73
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://tweetdeck.twitter.com/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on a total amount of tweets on the @whale_alert Twitter account, as indicated by the resolution source (https://tweetdeck.twitter.com/), on the resolution date of January 31 2022, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the resolution source indicates 61,301 or more tweets have been posted from the @whale_alert Twitter account, by the resolution date and to "No" otherwise. If the resolution source is unavailable at the resolution time, it will be checked every 6 hours until it is, and the most recent data will be used. If it is still unavailable after 12 checks, this market will resolve 50-50. Whale Alert is a Twitter bot triggered each time a significant transaction is made on the most popular cryptocurrency networks. Minimum thresholds for the transactions are listed here: https://whale-alert.io/whales ---------------------------------- Additional Market Information: - To see the official cumulative tweet count on the resolution source, search the resolution source for the @whale_alert Twitter account, and check the cumulative numbers of tweets under the “TWEETS” field. - The number by which the total tweets at expiration exceeds the Baseline may not equal the number of tweets actually posted over that time period, in light of numerous factors, including but not limited to the fact that the account's total tweets upon launch of the market may differ from the Baseline, tweets may be deleted prior to the expiration of this market, and specialized tweets such as quotes, retweets, replies, promoted tweets, may or may not be included in that total. - Neither any authorized user of the account in question, need to be the author of any such tweets, nor must any authorized user maintain control of the account.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://tweetdeck.twitter.com/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Jan 31, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.