Prediction HFT
ALL

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?

RESOLVESApr 22, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEpresident.gov.ua

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$530k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$166
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
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Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.president.gov.ua/en
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

In Response to Trader Inquiry: If the official UA source https://www.president.gov.ua/en says Zelenskyy is president at the resolution time, the market will resolve “Yes.” Otherwise, it will resolve “No.” If the source is unavailable, it will be checked every 4 hours for a week. If still unavailable, other official UA sources will be checked such as https://www.kmu.gov.ua/en, and if unavailable at that check, the UN source will be used instead. Please note that https://twitter.com/ZelenskyyUa will not be used as a source. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Volodymyr Zelenskyy announces intent to resign as President of Ukraine before April 22, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET but remains in office on that time, this market will still resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ukraine, including statements released by verified social media accounts affiliated with the Government of Ukraine (https://www.president.gov.ua/en, https://www.kmu.gov.ua/en, etc.), however official information from the United Nations (https://www.un.org/dgacm/sites/www.un.org.dgacm/files/Documents_Protocol/hspmfmlist.pdf, etc.) will also suffice.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.president.gov.ua/en
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Apr 22, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.