Prediction HFT
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Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?

Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?

RESOLVESDec 31, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEsenate.gov

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

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Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.senate.gov/legislative/TieVotes.htm
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether Kamala Harris will cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris casts 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021, and “No” otherwise. Tie-breaking votes will be considered if they are cast on or before 11:59 PM ET, December 31, 2021. The resolution source will be https://www.senate.gov/legislative/TieVotes.htm. If the link changes or becomes unavailable, or is not updated with the most recent tie-breaking votes cast by the resolution time, another credible source will be chosen.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.senate.gov/legislative/TieVotes.htm
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.