Prediction HFT
ALL
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20?

Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20?

RESOLVESMay 20, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEcoingecko.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$50k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$125
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/terra-usd
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of Terra (UST) reaches $1.000000 or more at any time within the market time frame, and “No” otherwise. The market time frame spans from May 9, 2022, 5:30:00 PM ET to May 21, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko's 30min candlestick high prices, with "Sat May 21 2022, 00:00:00" as the last relevant candle used for the market: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/terra-usd.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/terra-usd
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at May 20, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.