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Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st?

Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st?

RESOLVESMar 31, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEapps.apple.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$96k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$13
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
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Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://apps.apple.com/us/app/truth-social/id1586018825
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on if the Truth Social iOS app, affiliated with Donald Trump, will be live and available for installation on the US iOS app store by March 31st, 2022. If Americans with iPhones with the latest iOS firmware update can install Truth Social, also defined as the app from this linked App Store page: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/truth-social/id1586018825, on or before March 31st, 2022, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pre-Order does not satisfy the market conditions. If the app can be installed by March 31, 2022, even if it is unable to be installed afterwards, it will satisfy the conditions to resolve this market to “Yes.”

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://apps.apple.com/us/app/truth-social/id1586018825
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Mar 31, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.