Will Trump enact India travel ban in first 100 days?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government implements a ban against Indian nationals traveling to the United States by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "travel ban" refers to a formal prohibition, restriction, or suspension issued by the US government for Indian citizens/nationals attempting to enter US territory. The market will resolve early if an official travel ban against Indian nationals has been announced and confirmed prior to the end of this market's timeframe. If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign legislation or perform an executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.