Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29?

This is a market on whether there will be any day from April 23 to April 29 with more than 475,000 daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in India. The resolution source for this market will be the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in India, as reported by the World Health Organization (https://covid19.who.int/region/searo/country/in). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any date from April 23 to April 29 (inclusive), the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in India for that date was higher than 475,000. This market will resolve to “No” if there is not a single date from April 23 to April 29 (inclusive), where the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in India for that date was higher than 475,000. Specifically, at 8:00 PM ET each day from April 23 to April 30, 2021, the daily case total for all previous days will be checked. If that count is over 475,000 at the time of any one of those checks, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If at the time of the final check, on April 30, 2021, 8:00 PM ET, the count for all previous dates never exceeds 475,000, this market will resolve to “No”. If the WHO website is down at the time of resolution, market resolution will be delayed until the website is restored, or if it is not restored within 48 hours, this market will resolve such that “Yes” and “No” shares are both worth 0.50 USDC.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.