Prediction HFT
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Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27?

Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27?

RESOLVESAug 28, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEcovid19.who.int

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$12k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$400
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://covid19.who.int/region/wpro/country/jp
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether there will be more than 1k daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27, 2021. The resolution source for this market will be the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in Japan, as reported by the World Health Organization (https://covid19.who.int/region/wpro/country/jp). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in Japan for the date of August 27 was more than 1,000, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source will be checked on August 28, 2021 12:00 PM ET. If data is not available, the resolution source will be checked 24 hours later, and so on until September 1, 2021 12:00 PM ET. If there is still no available data by then, the market will resolve to 50-50. If the WHO website is down at the time of the first check, market resolution will be delayed until the website is restored, or if it is not restored within 48 hours, this market will resolve to 50-50.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://covid19.who.int/region/wpro/country/jp
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Aug 28, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.