Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021?

This is a market on the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases there will be globally by May 10, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are more than 160 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally on or before the resolution date. This market will resolve to “No” if there are not more than 160 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally by the resolution date. The resolution source for this market will be the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19, globally, as indicated by the World Health Organization’s Coronavirus Disease Dashboard (https://covid19.who.int/). If the resolution source is unavailable on the resolution date, The New York Times will be referenced instead (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/coronavirus-maps.html). If both sources are unavailable on the resolution date, this market will resolve to 50/50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.