Prediction HFT
ALL

Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st?

RESOLVESOct 1, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEcbinsights.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$44k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$1k
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.cbinsights.com/research-unicorn-companies
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether there will be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1, 2021. The market will resolve to “Yes” if there are 850 or more unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1, 2021, 8:00 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source is https://www.cbinsights.com/research-unicorn-companies. The total number of unicorn companies worldwide is listed at the top of the page. The resolution source will be checked at 8 PM ET daily; if the total number of unicorn companies worldwide is at least 850 during any one of these checks, the market will resolve to "Yes." As of the time of market creation, July 9, 2021, there are 750 unicorn companies on the list. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.cbinsights.com/research-unicorn-companies
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Oct 1, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.