Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8?

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States reports a 300,000 or more 7-day COVID-19 case average on or after the date of this market’s inception, December 27 2021, and on or before January 8 2022. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve on data from the CDC's Data Tracker, specifically, the 7-day moving average of COVID-19 cases for the United States, which is available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (navigate to "Select a state or territory" and select “United States”, and then scroll to "Data Table for Daily Case Trends" and view the data in the "7-Day Moving Avg" column, which is able to be sorted in descending order). The resolution source will be reviewed once daily at 8 PM ET, to see if the criteria for “Yes” are met. The final check will be on January 15 2022, 8 PM ET, checking the 7-day average on all days from the creation of this market to January 8 2022 (inclusive). If the website is down or data is unavailable during the final check, the market will resolve based on the most recent previous check that had data available.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.