YES
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY YES
ALL
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022?
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$34k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$104
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolution rules
From Polymarkethttps://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours
About this market
ContextThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA is above 75,000 on March 1, 2022, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases. The source will be first be checked on March 8, 2022, 8 PM ET, and if data is unavailable at that point, every 24 hours subsequently. If data is still unavailable by March 15, 2022, 8 PM ET, another credible source such as NYtimes will be used. The resolution figure can be checked in the cell under the column "7-Day Moving Avg" in the row dated "Mar 1, 2022".
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Mar 8, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.