Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022?

If the value natural gas is $7.00 or greater at market close according to the resolution source on the resolution date, April 29, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of natural gas is less than $7.00 as of market close according to the resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be Yahoo Finance’s reporting of the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NG%3DF/history). Resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Close*” under the resolution date. If the resolution source is deemed unreliable, other credible media sources may be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.