YES
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY YES
ALL
Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022?
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$58k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$150
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolution rules
From Polymarkethttps://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-info.html
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours
About this market
ContextThis is a market on if the CDC will denote variant B.1.1.529 (“Omicron”) under the heading Variant of High Consequence (VOHC) on its website before January 1, 2022, 12:00:01 AM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the resolution source shows B.1.1.529, "Omicron" or any label which references the Omicron variant in the VOHC category at any point before the resolution date, and “No” otherwise. The resolution for this market is https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-info.html which at the time of this market's inception states "Currently, there are no SARS-CoV-2 variants that rise to the level of high consequence." Other CDC links may be used if the aforementioned link changes.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-info.html
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Jan 1, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.