YES
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY YES
ALL
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election?
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$62k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$562
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolution rules
From Polymarkethttps://www.elections.ca/home.aspx
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours
About this market
ContextThis is a market on whether the Liberal Party of Canada will win a majority of parliament seats during the federal election scheduled to be held on September 20, 2021. A majority of parliament seats is defined as any number of seats greater than 169. This market will resolve according to official election results at https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberal Party of Canada wins a majority of seats, and “No” otherwise. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Sep 20, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.