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Will the AAA average US gas price still be above $4 on March 25, 2022?

Will the AAA average US gas price still be above $4 on March 25, 2022?

RESOLVESMar 25, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEgasprices.aaa.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$10k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$300
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
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Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://gasprices.aaa.com/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This market asks whether the average US current gas price according to the American Automotive Association (AAA) will be above $4.000 on March 25, 2022. If the average US current gas price according to AAA is above $4.000 (i.e. 4.001$ or more) for March 25, 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg." will be checked on March 25, 2022, 8 PM ET. If the URL for gas prices as determined by AAA changes, the resolution URL will change. If the resolution source is unavailable on the resolution date, the source will be checked 24 hours later, specifically "Yesterday Avg.", and if still unavailable, another credible source will be used such as https://www.gasbuddy.com/.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://gasprices.aaa.com/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Mar 25, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.