YES
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY YES
ALL
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the UK be greater than 44,000 on November 8?
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$14k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$0
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolution rules
From Polymarkethttps://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours
About this market
ContextThis is a market on the 7-day COVID-19 case average (people who have had at least one positive COVID-19 test result) in the United Kingdom, by date reported, for the day of November 8, 2021. This market will resolve to "Yes", if the 7-Day average for daily COVID-19 cases count in United Kingdom is greater than 44,000 for the day of November 8, and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases. The 7-day moving average for the day of November 8 will be checked at 8:00 PM ET on November 12, 2021. If data for the day of November 8 is not accessible, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until it is available. If the data is still unavailable by November 15th, the market will resolve based on the most recent 7-Day Moving Average prior to November 8. Please note that the 7-day moving average for any particular date is counted as an average of daily counts for this day, previous three days, and next three days, thus the resolution data for this market will be checked on November 12. Note also, that if the average equals 44,000, this market will resolve to "No".
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Nov 12, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.