
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22?
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Resolution rules
From PolymarketAbout this market
ContextThis is a market on whether the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US will be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22, 2021. The resolution source for this market will be https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases. “for the day of July 22, 2021” refers to the data on the CDC table under the 7 day moving average column, on the same row as “Jul 22 2021”. This data can also be found by mousing over the bar on the graph which has “Date: July 22, 2021”, and reading the 7-Day Moving average number in that box. The 7-day moving average for the day of July 22 will be checked at 8:00 PM ET, July 23. If data for the day of July 22 is not accessible on the website at that time, the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC) will check the resolution source every 24 hours until it is available, or for one last time on August 1, 2021, 8:00 PM ET. If data is still unavailable, the market will resolve based on the most recent 7-Day Moving Average prior to July 22. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.