Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?

If any Starship successfully launches and lifts to an altitude of at least 500 meters from its launchpad by November 19, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches an altitude of 500m above the launch pad will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.