Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021?

This is a market on whether one or more of Lloyd Austin, Antony Blinken, and Mark A. Milley will no longer hold their current positions of Secretary of Defense, Secretary of State, and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the three positions (Secretary of Defense, Secretary of State, and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff) are vacant or occupied by someone other than its occupant at the commencement of this market. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if one or more of the positions is held by an individual in an “Acting” capacity other than its occupant at the commencement of this market. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if, before the resolution of this market at 12:01 P.M. ET on October 1, 2021, one or more of Lloyd Austin, Antony Blinken, and Mark A. Milley announce a resignation to take effect after 12:01 P.M. ET on October 1, 2021. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be any credible news and government sources such as https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/cabinet/. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.