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Will SEC approve Bitwise ETF by June 29?

Will SEC approve Bitwise ETF by June 29?

RESOLVESJun 29, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEsec.gov

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$2k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$20
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.sec.gov/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

Bitwise Asset Management ("Bitwise") is a cryptocurrency asset advisory and management firm. On October 14, 2021, Bitwise filed an application (Form S-1 - General form for registration of securities under the Securities Act of 1933) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to register a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) to be listed for trading on the NYSE Arca Inc. exchange. Several proposals for spot bitcoin ETFs have been submitted to the SEC over the last 5 years, but "Bitwise Bitcoin ETP Trust" could be the first one on American markets, since none have been approved yet. You can read the filing documents at https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1763415/000138713121009995/0001387131-21-009995-index.htm. The final deadline for the decision on Bitwise's spot bitcoin ETF application is June 29, 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by June 29, 11:59:59 PM ET, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approves to register "Bitwise Bitcoin ETP Trust" in accordance with the filed application. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note that any commentary by the SEC, conditional approval, or request to correct the application will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only full approval for registration of securities under the Securities Act of 1933 before the resolution time will result in this market resolving to "Yes".

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.sec.gov/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Jun 29, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.