UKRAINE
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
Markets in this event
15 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$1.3M
VOL
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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$966k
VOL
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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 93%No 7%
$924k
VOL
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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$821k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 0%No 100%
$749k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$701k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$497k
VOL
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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes 0%No 100%
$486k
VOL
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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 84%No 16%
$261k
VOL
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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?Yes 0%No 100%
$230k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Yes 0%No 100%
$224k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 0%No 100%
$164k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 36%No 65%
$107k
VOL
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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$70k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes 66%No 34%
$683
VOL
โ
Event activity
Across all 15 markets24H VOLUME
$11k
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$7.5M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$235k
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2025 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 15 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.