Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?

This is a market on whether the former Mayor of New York City, Rudolph Giuliani, will be indicted for a federal crime by August 1, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rudolph Giuliani is indicted for a federal crime, as confirmed by government sources (https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel & https://www.justice.gov/news) or credible news reports of an indictment by the resolution date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No” (this market will resolve to "No" if Giuliani is indicted for a non-federal crime). In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.