
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sPrice history
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOBRecent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
About this market
ContextThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur. The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.