What are the odds of "Yes" for "Will Neymar leave Al-Hilal?"?

Currently 100% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

What are the odds of "No" for "Will Neymar leave Al-Hilal?"?

Currently 0% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

Will Neymar leave Al-Hilal? | Prediction Market

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

YES

100%

PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY YES

PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY NO

Price history

OPEN 24H

0.96

Yes

HIGH 24H

0.99

at 11:42 ET

LOW 24H

0.93

at 02:18 ET

CHANGE

+0.04

+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB

24H VOLUME

—

Past 24 hours

TOTAL VOLUME

$38k

Since creation

LIQUIDITY

—

Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live

TIME	SIDE	PRICE	SIZE	VALUE	TRADER

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether Neymar will leave Al-Hilal in the winter transfer window, which closes on January 30, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Neymar will leave Al-Hilal by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Neymar is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Al-Hilal, or retires: this market will resolve to "Yes". This market's resolution source will be official announcements from Neymar, Al-Hilal or the signing club.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading

How is this market resolved?+

The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.

When does this market close?+

Trading closes at Jan 30, 2025 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.

What are the possible outcomes?+

The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.

What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+

If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.

How do I trade on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.