Prediction HFT
ALL
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release?

Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release?

RESOLVESOct 28, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEstore.steampowered.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$14k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$299
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://store.steampowered.com/stats/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether New World will be in the Top 3 games on Steam in terms of peak players on October 28, 2021 at 11:59PM ET. Results of this market will be decided by official Steam player counts available at https://store.steampowered.com/stats/. The games listed at the resolution source will be ranked from highest to lowest based on the amounts in the "Peak Today" column. In the case of ties, the market will use standard competition ranking ("1224" ranking), where each game's ranking number is 1 plus the number of games ranked above it. If New World is in the top 3 or tied for the third spot, the market will resolve "Yes", and otherwise "No." In the event the resolution source is not available on October 28, 2021 at 11:59PM ET, another credible source will be chosen. If no other credible sources are available, the sources will be checked every 24 hours until November 28, 2021 when the market will resolve 50-50.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://store.steampowered.com/stats/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Oct 28, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.