Will NASA have confirmed more than 4910 existing exoplanets by February 11?

This is a market on the number of confirmed exoplanets reported by NASA, on the resolution time: February 11 2022, 12 PM ET. If the number of confirmed exoplanets as reported by NASA is greater than 4910 on resolution time, this market resolves to "Yes". Otherwise, this market resolves to "No". The resolution source for this market is the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), which reports the number of confirmed exoplanets on their Exoplanet Exploration Program website: https://exoplanets.nasa.gov/. Specifically, the number above the 'confirmed' field on the main page will be considered - regardless of any other press releases. ---------------- An exoplanet is any planet beyond our solar system. Most orbit other stars, but free-floating exoplanets, called rogue planets, orbit the galactic center and are untethered to any star. When this market was created (January 27 2022), the number of confirmed exoplanets was 4903.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.