YES
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY YES
ALL
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27?
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$83k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$13
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolution rules
From Polymarkethttps://exoplanets.nasa.gov/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours
About this market
ContextThis is a market on the number of confirmed exoplanets reported by NASA, on the resolution time: November 27th 2021, 8 PM ET. If the number of confirmed exoplanets as reported by NASA is greater than 4,580 on resolution time, this market resolves to ""Yes"". Otherwise, this market resolves to ""No"". The resolution source for this market is the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), which reports the number of confirmed exoplanets on their Exoplanet Exploration Program website: https://exoplanets.nasa.gov/ ---------------- An exoplanet is any planet beyond our solar system. Most orbit other stars, but free-floating exoplanets, called rogue planets, orbit the galactic center and are untethered to any star. When this market was created (November 15), the number of confirmed exoplanets was 4569.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
https://exoplanets.nasa.gov/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Nov 27, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.