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Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week?

Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week?

RESOLVESDec 1, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEyoutube.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$24k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$1
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.youtube.com/c/MrBeast6000/videos
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on a public view count of a new video of MrBeast on his Youtube channel. According to the creator, his new video will be a "Real life Squid Game with 456 random people competing in exact recreations of every game" and is planned to go public on November 24, 4 PM ET. The video used for this market will be the first video published on MrBeast's Youtube channel (https://www.youtube.com/c/MrBeast6000/), which refers to Squid Game, after this market's inception time, November 24, 2 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes", if MrBeast's Squid Game has 60,000,000 or more views by the resolution time, December 1, 2021, 4 PM ET, according to the Youtube public view count under the video. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The view count will be checked daily at 4 PM ET to see if 60M views was reached, and finally on the resolution time, December 1st 2021, 4 PM ET. If the data is unavailable then, this market will resolve in a good faith as soon as the data is available.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.youtube.com/c/MrBeast6000/videos
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Dec 1, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.