YES
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY YES
ALL
Will more than 3.30 million people travel via New York City subway on any day before November 19?
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$2k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$500
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolution rules
From Polymarkethttps://new.mta.info/coronavirus/ridership
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours
About this market
ContextThis is a market on NYC subway's daily ridership numbers, determined from MetroCard and OMNY swipes and taps, including ridership on the Staten Island Railway. If daily subway ridership in New York City is higher than 3,300,000 for any day between November 5 and November 18 2021 (including both), this market resolves to "Yes". Otherwise, this market resolves to "No". The resolution source for this market is The Metropolitan Transportation Authority Day-by-day ridership numbers (https://new.mta.info/coronavirus/ridership) and it will be checked at daily at 11:30 AM ET. If the data for any day is not available for any day between November 5 to November 18 inclusive by November 28 for all of the checks, this market resolves 50-50.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
https://new.mta.info/coronavirus/ridership
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Nov 20, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.