Prediction HFT
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Will Lost Ark be in the top 5 most played games on Steam on April 15, 2022?

Will Lost Ark be in the top 5 most played games on Steam on April 15, 2022?

RESOLVESApr 15, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEstore.steampowered.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$9k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$150
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
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Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://store.steampowered.com/stats/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether Lost Ark will be #1-5 on Steam in terms of peak players on April 15, 2022 at 11:59:59 PM ET. Results of this market will be decided by the official Steam player count ("Peak Today") available at https://store.steampowered.com/stats/.  If Lost Ark is #1-5 or tied for any of those spots, the market will resolve "Yes", and otherwise "No."  In the event the resolution source is not available on April 15, 2022 at 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible source will be chosen. If no other credible sources are available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until April 22, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, when the market will resolve 50-50. The games listed at the resolution source will be ranked from highest to lowest based on the amounts in the "Peak Today" column. In the case of ties, the market will use standard competition ranking ("1224" ranking),  where each game's ranking number is 1 plus the number of games ranked above it.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://store.steampowered.com/stats/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Apr 15, 2022 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.