Prediction HFT
ALL
Will Lionel Messi win Ballon d'Or 2021?

Will Lionel Messi win Ballon d'Or 2021?

RESOLVESNov 29, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEfrancefootball.fr

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$8k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$300
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
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Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.francefootball.fr/ballon-d-or/palmares/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether Lionel Messi will win the 2021 Ballon d’Or [Golden Ball] Award. The trophy is recognising the best footballers in the world by the French news magazine France Football. The annual ceremony of the award is scheduled to take place on 29th November 2021. If Lionel Messi is awarded Ballon d'Or at the ceremony, this market will resolve to "Yes", otherwise it will resolve to "No". Please note, there is a chance that France Football will honour also the best player of 2020 (the ceremony was cancelled due to the pandemic) or might name it "Ballon d'Or 2020 & 2021". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Lionel Messi has to be awarded with any of them. The resolution source will be the list of the laureates at France Football’s website, https://www.francefootball.fr/ballon-d-or/palmares/. If the award isn't announced by December 5, 2021, the market will resolve 50/50.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.francefootball.fr/ballon-d-or/palmares/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Nov 29, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.