Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15?

This is a market on whether Joe Biden's approval rating will be 45.0% or higher for the day of October 15, 2021. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the date of October 15, 2021. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution date for this market will be on October 16, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of October 15. If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by October 22, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating.

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Resolution

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