YES
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY YES
ALL
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13?
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$51k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$0
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolution rules
From Polymarkethttps://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours
About this market
ContextThis is a market on Joe Biden's approval rating for the day of November 13, 2021. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the date of November 13, 2021. This market resolves to "Yes" if the approval rating for the day of November 13, 2021 will be 43.0% or higher, and "No" otherwise. The resolution date for this market will be on November 14, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of November 13. If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by November 27, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the (dis)approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Nov 14, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.