
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021?
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About this market
ContextThis is a market on whether an official inauguration of Joe Biden as the President of the United States will take place on January 20th, 2021 outdoors at the western front of the U.S. Capitol facing the National Mall (the site used for all Inaugurations since Ronald Reagan's in 1981). Here is an image of the exact location in question: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9f/Inauguration-01-20-2009.jpg. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if an official inauguration (defined as an inauguration that results in the demonstrated powers of the US Presidency) is held on January 20th, 2021 in-person, outdoors at the western front of the U.S. Capitol facing the National Mall. If an inauguration happens indoors or at a different location, or no inauguration happens that day at all, this market will resolve to “No“. In the event of ambiguity in regards to the outcome of this market, it will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.