Prediction HFT
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Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021?

Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021?

RESOLVESJan 21, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW99¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.95
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.92
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

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24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$875k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$0
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
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About this market

Context

This is a market on whether an official inauguration of Joe Biden as the President of the United States will take place on January 20th, 2021 outdoors at the western front of the U.S. Capitol facing the National Mall (the site used for all Inaugurations since Ronald Reagan's in 1981). Here is an image of the exact location in question: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9f/Inauguration-01-20-2009.jpg. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if an official inauguration (defined as an inauguration that results in the demonstrated powers of the US Presidency) is held on January 20th, 2021 in-person, outdoors at the western front of the U.S. Capitol facing the National Mall. If an inauguration happens indoors or at a different location, or no inauguration happens that day at all, this market will resolve to “No“. In the event of ambiguity in regards to the outcome of this market, it will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Jan 21, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (99%), No (1%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.