Prediction HFT
ALL
Will Japan or the USA win gold in Baseball at the 2020 Olympics?

Will Japan or the USA win gold in Baseball at the 2020 Olympics?

RESOLVESAug 7, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEolympics.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢JAPANUSA
OPEN 24H
0.96
Japan
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Japan

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$1k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$500
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://olympics.com/tokyo-2020/olympic-games/en/results/baseball-softball/results-baseball-fnl-000100-.htm
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This market will resolve to “Japan” if Japan wins the Baseball gold medal at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, or “USA” if the United States of America wins the Baseball gold medal at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. This market will resolve on August 7, 2021, when the gold medal match is scheduled to be played. If the gold medal match is postponed to September 7, 2021, 11:59 PM ET or earlier, the same rules will apply. If the gold medal match is postponed to September 8, 2021, 12:00 AM ET or later, or cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to 50/50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://olympics.com/tokyo-2020/olympic-games/en/results/baseball-softball/results-baseball-fnl-000100-.htm
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Aug 7, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Japan (100%), USA (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.